Paddy Power Gold Cup Preview, Analysis and past winners

Paddy Power Gold Cup 4yo+ Two miles four and a half furlongs

Year

Winner

Age

Wgt

OR

SP

Trainer

Jockey

Going

2013

Johns Spirit

6

10-2

139

7/1

Jonjo O’Neill

R P McLernon

Good

2012

Al Ferof*

7

11-8

159

8/1

Paul Nicholls

R Walsh

Soft

2011

Great Endeavour*

7

10-3

147

8/1

David Pipe

T Murphy

Good To Soft

2010

Little Josh

8

10-5

146

25/1

N A Twiston-Davies

S Twiston-Davies

Good To Soft

2009

Tranquil Sea

7

10-13

148

11/2F

E J O’Grady

A J McNamara

Soft

2008

Imperial Commander*

7

10-7

139

13/2

N A Twiston-Davies

P Brennan

Soft

2007

L’Antartique

7

10-13

146

13/2

Ferdy Murphy

G Lee

Good

2006

Exotic Dancer

6

11-2

139

16/1

Jonjo O’Neill

A P McCoy

Good To Soft

2005

Our Vic*

7

11-7

144

9/2F

M C Pipe

T Murphy

Good To Soft

2004

Celestial Gold*

6

10-2

136

12/1

M C Pipe

T Murphy

Good

2003

Fondmort*

7

10-13

150

3/1F

N J Henderson

M Fitzgerald

Good

*Six won on their seasonal reappearance

The five remaining winners all had one run prior to the race

All winners had previously won at Class Two or above

All winners were aged between six & eight-years

Ten out of eleven had two or more previous chase victories

Ten out of eleven had previously won over twenty/twenty-one-furlongs

Five of the last seven winners were rated 146 or higher

One Irish trained winner

Three favourites

TOP FSF’s

FSF Ratings are a unique combined Form and Speed Ratings compiled by me, Graham Richards.

Buywise

160

This fellow appears to have his quirks. In fairness, he has only run nine times in his career, suggesting he is still growing up mentally. Bolted up here in April having finished fifth behind Present View at The Festival. 5lb worse off with that horse, he did however make three or four serious mistakes that day. Serious shout with an error free round.

Eastlake

160

A course winner over two-miles, Eastlake ran well in the Topham Trophy. Goes well fresh, handles most ground conditions, good chance at the weights, and one to consider in the final analysis.

Persian Snow

156

Running consistently these days and claims on Cheltenham running in October and March. Softer the ground the better.

Present View

154

Ran out a good winner at the Festival, having jumped and travelled well throughout the race. 7lb higher, he was unlucky not to win a novice hurdle (Winner now 11lb higher on official ratings) at the Showcase meeting. Returned home with a cut, which cost him a week in his preparation.

Johns Spirit

152

Johns Spirit won this race last season off a 17lb lower mark. Returned in good shape to win here in October and respected on his ability over both course and distance. Just a suspicion he is best on ground no worse than good to soft.

Attaglance

Good record at Prestbury Park over hurdles and fences. Second to Present View at the Festival and 1lb better off. Had to be switched after the last fence that day. Head-on suggests it was a questionable jockey decision, rather than the winner causing serious interference.

Caid Du Berlais

Useful hurdler/chaser that appears, at present, best over hurdles.

Cantlow

Claims at his best but hard to predict these days.

Cedre Bleu

Has a shout on his January running at this course. Changed hands in the summer and new stable yet to hit top form.

Champion Court

Course winner in 2012 and 2013 and well handicapped on his best form. Has not shown much recently and two best runs last season came on flat, right-handed tracks. Reported to have enjoyed himself on an away day with the Heythrop Hunt.

Easter Meteor

Staying on strongly, when departing the fun two from home in last season’s renewal. Joined Mr Pipe’s stable in the summer and comes here fresh and well. 9lb better off with Johns Spirit, a clear round should see him thereabouts when it matters.

Edgardo Sol

Returned to action with a fine second to Wishfull Thinking at Aintree. Has won over hurdles at this course; yet to run over fences. Better handicapped over hurdles.

Ericht

Useful sort that appears at his best on flat tracks.

Indian Castle

First run for current trainer having left Mr McCain’s stable. Course winner and useful form at this trip. Should stay further this season and goes well fresh. Winning form on good through to heavy.

Kapga De Cerisy

Returning after a twelve-month absence. Excellent form at Sandown Park but flopped at Prestbury Park on both visits. Possibly as his best in smaller fields.

King Massini

Struggling to regain his best form. Wins have come on good and good to soft.

Orpheus Valley

Trip will suit but age and track (All wins coming on right-handed tracks) may be against him.

Oscar Whisky

Classy performer that is rated 8lb higher over hurdles. Chase form stands up to scrutiny; all wins in this discipline have come in single-figure fields. First ever run in a handicap but respected if he can put in a clear round.

Shanpallas

Won the Muster National in September but may find things happening too quickly on this occasion. Profile suggests he is best on good ground.

Graham’s 154 Horses to Follow including dark horses plus profiles of 14 trainers is out now. Check out details on his website. JP