The most successful current jockeys are Barry Geraghty, Tony McCoy, and Ruby Walsh with two wins each. Prior to Bobs Worth’s win, the previous thirteen winners ran in either the King George or Lexus Chase. The last ten winners had previously been successful in at Grade 1 race. Bobs Worth apart, winners in the past ten-year had prep runs between thirty-four and eighty-three days prior to the race. Four of the last six winners won a race at the previous festival.
Silviniaco Conti TR 176 will enter the arena with 2014 Betfair Chase and King George Chase wins to his name. His TFR is 11lb clear of the next horse in the betting market. What dampens enthusiasm is his apparent dislike of undulating tracks. Since cheek-pieces were fitted in the Betfair Chase, Noel Fehily has made most of running, jumping well to outstay his rivals. One imagines he will try to control the pace from the front, thereby given him every chance of seeing out the trip. Many Clouds and Road To Riches are both TR 165. The former won well on Trials day with course experience a valuable asset. Last year’s winner Lord Windermere TR 161 showed more in the Irish Hennessy despite looking just short of his best fitness-wise. However, both RPR’s and TFR’s suggest those crossing the water need to improve if Silviniaco Conti runs to his best. The one exception may be the hugely exciting Djakadam TR 160. TFR’s display he needs to improve. However, he could not have won the Thyestes Chase any easier under a big weight. Coneygree ran out an impressive winner in the Denman Chase. His RPR suggests the RSA is the safest choice in terms of achievement, though at eight-years, he is old enough to run in an open-looking renewal. Interestingly his RPR is the same as Carlingford Lough achieved in the Irish Hennessy. I am of the opinion Boston Bob, in preparation for Cheltenham and the spring festivals received a considerate ride. Not put in the race until the latter stages, he looks one sure to enjoy the extra quarter of a mile at Prestbury Park. Shutthefrontdoor is promising. However, he is facing time against him in search of a prep run. Foxrock TR 161 is likely to be supplemented after his fine run in the Irish Hennessy, while Sam Winner TR 159 is expected to take his chance having reportedly improved since his run in the Lexus Chase.
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